The Arkanssouri Blog.: A funny thing happened during the Dem convention . . .

Saturday, July 31, 2004

A funny thing happened during the Dem convention . . .

. . . Kerry lost ground in the electoral count.

For the past week, I've been printing out the presidential poll page from dcpoliticalreports.com. Here are the results.

One 7/24, Kerry had an electoral vote count (EVC) of 224. Bush had 173. That puts Kerry at +51.

7/25, Kerry's EVC fell to 217, while Bush's rose to 193, narrowing Kerry's lead to +24.

7/26 was a Sunday.

7/27, the EVCs remained stable, leaving Kerry at +24.

7/28, Kerry's EVC rose to 233, and Bush's fell to 188, putting Kerry at +45, still not as far ahead as he was before the convention.

7/29, Kerry's EVC fell back down to 218, while Bush's remained stable at 188. Kerry was back down to +30.

7/30 and today, 7/31, both counts remained stable at 218 and 188. Kerry finished the convention at +30, a net loss of 21 EV's from his position before the convention.

Strategically, Republicans may want to forfeit their convention time and place in New York and let the Democrats have another convention then and there. It seems the more Kerry is in the news, the fewer people want to vote for him.

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